Hello again! It’s been a pretty big week in terms of portfolio restructure, with a few new players arriving and a load of top ups, along with a very poorly timed trade!
JUAN FOYTH x50
NICO SCHULZ x50
VAN DIJK x40
BERNARDO SILVA x20
NICOLAS PEPE x50
KEITA BALDE x90
CORENTIN TOLISSO x150
NABIL FEKIR x100
PAULO DYBALA x100
I’ll start with an evaluation of my sells - all of these were completed shortly after the last blog so I have a week’s worth of hindsight on them, and boy what a week it was!
For Balde and Tolisso I’m still currently happy with exiting these trades, as I don’t see them gaining significant capital gains until they prove they can compete for PB dividends, I took profits on them and have spent them better elsewhere.
I’ve decided to half exit out of Pepe and Fekir (so I still have 50 shares left in Pepe and 100 left in Fekir) - In Pepe’s case he’s picked up a few media dividends throughout the week with the Arsenal deal being completed, though what he’s gained in dividends he’s lost through a depreciation in price with the move being made official. I sold half of my shares in him as whilst I’m curious as to how he’ll start at Arsenal, I wasn’t confident enough in his price maintaining there in an unpredictable Arsenal side. I’ve kept a few shares as if he hits the ground running and picks up some dividends, I’ll sell on for an even greater price, but if things start out roughly for him I’ll be comfortable losing a few pounds before selling on. With his stats in ligue 1 I’m anticipating a good start, but this is just an educated gamble.
As for Fekir I believe his price has bottomed out for now, and I have a mild interest as to how he will get on at Betis. He is still a quality talent and I’ll be interested to see whether he elevates Betis or if Betis brings him down. Again though, not fully confident so I thought it would be best to sell 50% so if his price falls further it’s not the end of the world.
Finally, Dybala. It has been a horrific week watching his price skyrocket to above £4 then plummeting back down to £3 knowing that if I’d waited a few more days to sell on, I’d have £100 more! After the initial rumours had cooled down, I didn’t believe Dybala would come to United, but I did believe that there would be a few more rumours (as I said in last week’s blog). However I severely underestimated how substantial these sources would get and how much traders believed in his price based on the rumours. It’s a regret that I didn’t get to sell him for a pound per share more than I did, but at the same time I was fairly confident that he wouldn’t go to United, so I don’t blame myself for selling at the wrong time, I just underestimated how serious the next wave of rumours would be.
Onto the buys now and I’m only going to focus on the new additions to the portfolio, one of which is a returning premium player, Salah! I’ve picked up 70 shares in him as now that the season is about to kick on again, I’m anticipating he’ll once again be a key part of Liverpool’s season, even if he does have a slow start after international tournaments over the summer, I’ll take that opportunity to top-up if other traders sell.
With Salah, he is a proven media dividend earner, and whilst not that strong on PB (especially with big chances missed getting minus points under the new matrix, he misses a lot of sitters so I’m sure that won’t look good for his PB prospects!), I’m going to rely on his MB dividends to provide a passive income throughout the season.
My next 2 additions are more speculative defensive purchases (I’m aware I’m buying a lot of defenders, I can only hope Kimmich doesn’t pick up dividends every game day!), Juan Foyth and Nico Schulz.
In Foyth’s case, he’s only 21 and has picked up 2 PB dividend wins in 14 games. At a budget price (in honesty I consider players under £1 as budget players, which is insane as that would be £3 in pre share split money, crazy market growth!), Foyth is looking like a strong option, especially as he can play either as a centreback or a rightback. With rightbacks being in short supply for Spurs, I’m expecting him to get way more game time next season, and along with that more opportunities to win.
As for Schulz, he is a player that seems to benefit from the matrix changes, and with him making the move to a dominant Dortmund team, I’m expecting his average PB scores to go up as he’ll have more of the ball. These are both riskier yet cheaper players, with the strategy being that if they win dividends twice this upcoming season, they’d have returned 10% yield, and I’d be happy with that (not counting any capital appreciation I’d get from that!)
Here’s what my portfolio looks like going into the new season, I’m so ready for the return of PB!